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It is a rare event indeed to see a front page of the WSJ start with a headline; “Array of Threats Stirs Up Markets” – and then write what’s effectively a Credit Markets column telling you what’s up with interest rates. It’s a fine story, make no mistake, but focuses one’s attention on the recent and still more immediate story which basically captures what’s motivating moves in Treasury yields. To wit, we have 1) Hurricane Irma, on the heels of 2) Hurricane Harvey, 3) ongoing to expanding tensions with North Korea, 4) dovish Fed comments from Fed doves, 5) the steady litany of low inflation figures, and concludes with structural element such as, 6) ‘potentially intractable forces, such as globalization and technological advances’ and global debt levels and the aging population. Read more from David Ader's latest musings.
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