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IGM FX and Rates
The CEE region has equivalently been hit by local lockdowns, the demand fallout from the Eurozone and large capital outflows, but local manufacturing PMIs are an early indicator that CEE economies are through the worst and a gradual recovery lies ahead. With the lowest debt levels, the CNB having ended its easing cycle and forecasts for a strong rebound in 2021, we expect the CZK to outperform its peers in the coming months. For more read our EM Viewpoint Blog >
Topic Industry News
PSN Enterprise - Separate Account Analytics Software, Zephyr...
The week ahead is full of attention-grabbing economic data releases and marks the begging of the Q2 earnings season. The headliner will be retail sales which experienced a historic increase last month and will be a driver of market performance next week. Retail sales could surprise again on the upside considering businesses continued to reopen and consumers were itching to escape being quarantined. Furthermore, earnings season kicks off with big name banks, Netflix, Delta Airlines, and Johnson & Johnson reporting. This cycle is full of uncertainty as a record number of corporations of withdrawn forward guidance, while better-than-expected economic data are sure to add some surprises to this cycle. Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
After trading lackluster in a 500-point range for 12 months, the Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) finally made an upside breakthrough at the beginning of this month on the back of high trading volumes. Suddenly, the market was flooded with optimism. Interbank repo rates have been creeping upwards over the past few days on the back of surging demand for borrowing (financing) associated with IPO subscriptions. Meanwhile, bond yields have been heading upwards as investors switch out of bonds into equities. The whole picture reminds us of the equity boom during November 2014 to June 2015 and the bust afterwards.
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
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Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
In the previous quants corner piece released in May, Chinese Share Classes: Getting past the letter A, we noted the increasing allocation by active fund managers to Hong Kong listed Chinese securities (H shares, Red chips and P chips) and, as a result, the steady drop in their underweight relative to the benchmark...
Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
The second biggest weekly inflow on record for China Equity Funds helped EPFR-tracked Emerging Markets Equity Funds snap their longest outflow streak since 2014 during the first week of July. Emerging Markets Bond Funds also enjoyed solid inflows and High Yield Bond Funds, which saw a 13-week, $71 billion inflow streak come to an end the previous week, absorbed over $3 billion.
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit
Although the first half of 2020 has been hectic and tumultuous for global markets, the primary market for LatAm has been strong thanks to accommodative central bank policies and a hearty investor appetite for yield. H1 volume was $84.113bn – slightly over $30bn more than the $53.997bn priced during H1 in 2019. This is the highest-ever first-half tally registered by LatAm issuers, and only the second time over $80bn in LatAm paper priced during the first six months of the year. The H1 total includes the nearly $37bn newly issued LatAm debt in January which broke all previous records for most prolific monthly issuance and also marked the first time LatAm monthly volume exceeded $30bn. June 2020, with $14.756bn, is now the busiest June in the entire history of the LatAm primary market.
Topic Industry News
Zephyr Portfolio Analytics
Qualis Capital has been a client since 2020 and subscribes to the Zephyr platform. Robert Pereira is the Managing Director of Research for Qualis Capital and is responsible for researching alternatives for consideration in their platform, comparing alternatives to their peers, and comparing alternative performance for their clients. Qualis Capital needed a robust analytics and reporting platform to help power in‐depth research of their managers and produce sleek, yet informative client communications. “I have been using Zephyr close to 20 years,” said Mr. Pereira, “it is the easiest way to find and analyze returns.” Read more...
IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
PBOC announced on the night of 30 June that it will cut the re-lending and re-discount rates by 25bp, effective from 1 July, aimed at reducing funding costs for smaller firms and rural sectors. This narrow-based monetary easing echoed CBRC chairman Guo Shuqing's and PBOC governor Yi Gang's views in favour of a timely withdrawal of the counter-pandemic stimulus. In fact, our observation is PBOC has been very cautious about pumping liquidity into the system via OMO since May.
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit
As a result of the Covid-19 induced lockdowns, many cash-strapped corporations - those who could - descended on the US public debt market in droves, raising an unprecedented $723bln in Q2 2020. That brought ex-SSA H1 issuance to an unheard of $1,214,331bln, topping all estimates for the year. Fun fact: 2020 high grade issuance is running 101.8% higher than last year at this time. Along the way, many milestones were set including a quarter that produced (1) three of the top six busiest ex-SSA issuance months on record (2) the busiest ex-SSA issuance month on record (April’s $297.775bln) (3) and needless to say, the busiest issuance quarter, and half, of all time ($723.121bln and $1,214,331bln respectively).
Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
The final week of June was marked by uncertainty about the trajectory of America’s economic recovery and the future of its relations with China as new daily COVID-19 cases in the US topped 50,000 on the last day of the reporting period and China unveiled its new national security law for Hong Kong. Equity and Bond Funds with socially responsible (SRI) or environmental, social and governance (ESG) mandates, however, enjoyed a very good week with both groups setting new inflow records.
Topic Industry News
IGM FX and Rates
So far in 2020, the USD has largely been a winner. However, how does the USD tend to fare generally in the first month of H2? Further, are there any G10s that seem to perform particularly well/badly through July? For more read our FX Viewpoint Blog >
Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
The first case of the virus now designated COVID-19 was detected last December. The epidemic, which became a global pandemic during 1Q20, had an immediate impact on nearby South Korea. At first markets viewed Korea, whose response to the pandemic garnered widespread accolades, as a haven. By late March, however, the bloom had come off the Korean rose with Korean Equity Funds compiling a 12-week, $10 billion outflow streak that ran into mid-June...
Topic Industry News
Zephyr Portfolio Analytics
China is ahead of the rest of the world in its financial recovery. But, what, if anything, can we learn from China’s recovery path to date? How is China’s recovery going to impact the wider global economies? We have assembled a panel of experts to help us better understand what is happening and what are the most important trends to watch in China, the U.S. and beyond. Expect to come away with more clarity around overall global market recovery, the pace of return to a ‘new normal’, what sectors will bounce back faster than others and risks to keep an eye on.
Topic Industry News
21 Jul 2020 , 11:00
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05 Aug 2020 , 14:00
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