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IGM Credit
By Bruce Clark 14 Nov 2022
Thursday's smaller-than-expected rise in US CPI gives the Fed room to perhaps take at least one foot off the brake.
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 11 Nov 2022
Investors came into November anticipating a pivot towards Republicans in the US mid-term elections and fearing that October’s inflation data would set the stage for another 75 basis point rate hike by the US Federal Reserve after their December meeting. But the ‘red wave’ was blunted by a green breakwater of younger voters and price growth in the world’s largest economy last month slowed to 7.7% year-on-year.
Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 04 Nov 2022
In the US, November is – among other things – National Gratitude Month. For investors, however, it is already shaping up to be another month of twists, turns and developments that can cut both ways. Finding mercies, even small ones, in this environment is proving difficult.
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit
By Anil Mayre 03 Nov 2022
October issuance eases from September in unsettled market RMBS leads with seven transactions in the month across, UK, Irish and Dutch portfolios CLOs pick up towards month end to take October tally to six trades Solitary auto ABS comes from VW
IGM Credit
By Bruce Clark 01 Nov 2022
Time for a wellness check on those central banks joining the pivot bandwagon without having seen a meaningful moderation in their inflation data.
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 28 Oct 2022
Impending rate hikes from the European Central Bank and US Federal Reserve. The striking selloff experienced by Chinese assets. Mixed earnings reports. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine heading into its ninth month. That may be yesterday’s news, if flows to EPFR-tracked Equity and Bond Funds during the fourth week of October are any indication.
Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 21 Oct 2022
With rising prices and higher interest rates joining, for the moment, death and taxes on the list of life’s certainties, investors kept reducing risk and unshackling themselves from fixed income assets in mid-October. EPFR-tracked Bond Funds posted their ninth consecutive outflow, a run that has seen over $80 billion pulled out of this group, while redemptions from Alternative and Balanced Funds since the final week of August stand at $17 billion and $31 billion, respectively.
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit
By Tony Nyman 17 Oct 2022
EUR/USD - Hit a fresh range and multi-year low of 0.9536 on Sep 28. A decent rebound since, as markets are pricing the possibility of another 75BPs hike interest rates later this month and the terminal rate call is being lifted in some quarters to around 3% by end-Q1 2023 from current 1.25%
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 14 Oct 2022
Risk reduction and defensive positioning remained high on most investors’ lists during the second week of October as the Nasdaq index it its lowest level since late 3Q20 and US 30-year mortgage rates tested the 8% level. With the UK’s bond market giving investors a reminder of what a collision between recession-fighting fiscal policy and inflation-fighting monetary policy looks like, missiles flying out of Russia and North Korea, the latest US core inflation doing nothing for hopes of restraint by the US Federal Reserve in early November and the third quarter earnings season on the horizon, investors had plenty of other reasons to tack towards safety.
Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 07 Oct 2022
In early October two of the major ratings agencies downgraded the outlook for British sovereign debt from stable to negative. For investors it was a familiar story. For much of 2022 stability has turned to instability, certainty to uncertainty and hope to fear across most asset classes. The result has been growing market volatility and a growing defensiveness on the part of those investors.
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit
By Anil Mayre 06 Oct 2022
Volatility spikes as quarter draws to a close CLOs and RMBS maintain dominance of placed volumes Auto issuance hits seven deals in September after two barren months Volumes up on Q2 but still less than half of Q1
IGM Credit
By Gavin Kendrick 04 Oct 2022
In Europe SSAs drove a disproportionate 51.2% of overall supply as extreme volatility and negative sentiment crimped activity across the other asset classes, followed by IG Corps (17.6%), Covered (15.3%), FIG (15.2%) and a small contribution from HY (0.7%). EUR supply rose by 69% m-o-m in September although it was more than 15% below the corresponding month of 2021 as extreme volatility constrained fundraising. The APAC USD primary market struggled to maintain momentum for much of September but USD25.345bn did manage to get over the line helped by a USD15.1bn (or close to 60% of the overall total) contribution from Japanese borrowers who returned to the market in force. US IG Issuance volume for the month of September was USD110.5bn and fell short of respondents' estimates, which had averaged out at USD143bn. Ex-SSA, September's issuance was USD80.45bn, above only June's USD70.85bn in ex-SSA monthly totals for 2022.
Topic Industry News
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 03 Oct 2022
Investors, who were already struggling to digest the latest US interest rate hike, were confronted with more unappetizing fare during the fourth week of September. This included Italy’s marked shift away from centrist politicians, the sabotaging of pipelines connecting Europe with Russian natural gas fields, Hurricane Ian’s advance on Florida and a market-jolting budget from Britain’s new Chancellor of the Exchequer.
Topic Industry News
IGM Credit
By Bruce Clark 03 Oct 2022
Equity markets are trying to rally on a 'sources' story going around the market claiming the Fed is growing uneasy about 'financial instability,' implying that it is overtaking inflation as its primary concern
EPFR - fund flow & allocations data
By Cameron Brandt 23 Sep 2022
The third week of September began with investors buying US equities on the dip and Ukraine’s army rolling back Russian invaders around the city of Kharkiv. It ended with Russia mobilizing the first of 300,000 reservists and short-term US interest rates at their highest level since 2008.
Topic Industry News
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