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In the week just passed, the Treasury market eked out some further gains largely on the back of non-economic events like North Korea’s missile across Japan and the floods in Texas where some estimates of damage exceed $100 bn to as much as $190 bn (AccuWeather). The economic impact, of course, remains an unknown but that it will initially be a drag on GDP is understood. Katrina cost $160 bn.
The very tame NFP report came after the fact but does enhance a bullish perspective. Job gains were weaker-than-expected at 156K overall, 41k worth of downward revisions, an uptick in UNR and remarkably tame 0.1% rise in average hourly earnings. Ouch. Read more from David Ader's latest musings.
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