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EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By Charles Biderman, Informa, TrimTabs 23 Jun 2017
Charles Biderman, Informa TrimTabs, presents his analysis of current supply and demand data, suggesting the value stocks in the tech sector are those creating their own demand while growing free cash flow.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, Competitive Product Rese...
By David Ader, Chief Macro Strategist for Informa Financial Intelligence 16 Jun 2017
In the week just passed, the bond market’s theme was of a flattening yield curve as the Fed delivered what glibly could be called a ‘hawkish’ hike while some key economic indicators like CPI and Retail Sales fell well short of expectations. For context, 2s reached new yield highs as the Fed adhered to its projections for more hikes, i.e. the dot plot, while 10s slipped to new yield lows last seen two days after the Presidential election and filling a gap left from that day. Read more from David Ader's latest musings.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By Charles Biderman, Informa, TrimTabs 16 Jun 2017
Charles Biderman, Informa TrimTabs, presents his analysis of current supply and demand data, suggesting U.S. stock prices might be facing short term headwinds, but will keep chugging higher medium term.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By David Ader 05 Jun 2017
When it comes to rate hikes, Chief Macro Strategist David Ader believes the Federal Reserve has made the switch from being data-dependent to forecast-dependent, and looks set to pull the trigger again this month. And market expectations, which are running close to 100% for another 0.25% increase, are supported by seasonal patterns. Read more from Informa Global Markets by clicking the button below.
Topic Changing Rate Environment US Presidential Election Global Investment Flows
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By Charles Biderman, Informa, TrimTabs 30 May 2017
Charles Biderman, Informa TrimTabs, presents his analysis of current supply and demand data, suggesting U.S. stock prices are likely to keep rising over the near term.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By David Ader 26 May 2017
In the week just passed the bond market gotten a respite from the ongoing tumult between the Trump Administration and, well, just about everyone else. It was a diplomatic trip for the President and a vacation for the rest of us. Call it a hiatus until his budget proposals are reworked, and in all likelihood dramatically so, and the investigations get underway. Read more from David Ader's latest musings.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By Charles Biderman, Informa, TrimTabs 22 May 2017
Are economic observers falling into the same trap as pollsters and pundits did pre-election and underestimating the Trump administration’s appeal – assuming he stays in office, of course?
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By David Ader 19 May 2017
Turmoil in Washington puts Trump’s fiscal ambitions in doubt; Treasuries rally on FTQ, low inflation continuum; Fed holds to more hawkish bias, helps flatten curve; Foreign buying picks up, not sure if a blip or a trend; Treasuries enter longest bullish phase of year. Read more from David Ader's latest musings.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, WealthManagement.com, Co...
By David Ader, Chief Macro Strategist for Informa Financial Intelligence 05 May 2017
In the week just passed most Treasury yields rose a bit with the curve flattening in the process. It’s really a tale of two curves; the front part vs. the back end. The front end dealt with an FOMC statement that didn’t offer any serious surprises but did affirm that a June hike was on the proverbial table. The back end, specifically 30s, outperformed for different reasons.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, Competitive Product Rese...
By David Ader, Chief Macro Strategist for Informa Financial Intelligence 28 Apr 2017
In the week just passed the bond market gave back some of the gains from its relief rally that essentially came with the French election results a week ago and relative easing of the mood over geopolitics. This is presumably a pause in the grand scheme of things on both accounts and not a definitive “phew” that shoots US interest rates on a particularly bearish schematic. At least not yet.
Competitive Product Research, Informagic
15 Apr 2017
As we head into mid-April, we are finding that there has been a slight drop in rates compared to March’s high volatility as bond market holdings for the new month were adjusted.
IGM FX and Rates, EPFR, iMoneyNet, Competitive Product Resea...
By David Ader 13 Apr 2017
In the week just passed, longer-end Treasury yields fell to lows not seen since November 18 while short-end yields meandered providing a flatter yield curve.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, Competitive Product Rese...
By David Ader, Chief Macro Strategist for Informa Financial Intelligence 07 Apr 2017
Let me start with the reality that the FOMC minutes for the March meeting didn’t do much to stir the markets. Based on the various economic reviews of those minutes, that was the appropriate response: we didn’t learn a lot that we hadn’t heard before in various forms of Fedspeak.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, Competitive Product Rese...
By David Ader, Chief Macro Strategist for Informa Financial Intelligence 31 Mar 2017
Before I go into my more macro thinking, I’ll start with a simple 10-yr U.S. Treasury yield bar chart with, highlighted in rose, a very defined sideways channel whose broad parameters are 2.31+ to 2.63+%. Having been bullishly biased, the near-term charts look a bit more bearish with momentum shifting to higher yields. I’m not that bearish, but it’s a range and we got near the upper reaches.
EPFR, IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates, Competitive Product Rese...
By David Ader, Chief Macro Strategist for Informa Financial Intelligence 24 Mar 2017
In the week just passed, the drama of economic data had its intermission with the data frontage subdued and most of that decidedly second tier in nature. The focus of the interest-rate community shifted to somewhat softer (though potentially far more critical) inputs on the political front and as a result found new impetus to sustain technical gains that were otherwise underway.
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