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Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 06.01.21

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 06.01.21

The upcoming week is jobs week with both the ADP employment and the nonfarm payroll reports for May being released. With inflation numbers spiking, all eyes now turn to the strength of the labor market which will contribute to the decision-making process of the Fed. I will be paying close attention to wage growth as employers struggle to fill jobs and may be forced to increase wages to attract workers, which will also contribute to higher inflation.

Topic Industry News

Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.24.21

 Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.24.21

The headline data release during the week ahead will be the release of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). Markets were rattled following the latest CPI reading that showed prices are at their highest levels since 2008. However, the Fed remains steadfast that inflation is transitory, the question remains, will additional higher-than-expected inflation readings force the Fed to tighten policies sooner-than-expected?

Topic Industry News

Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.17.21

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.17.21

The housing market will be on full display during the week ahead as builders contend with soaring lumber prices and difficulties finding qualified workers. The housing data releases include builder confidence, building permits, housing starts, and existing home sales. In addition to the housing market data, I will be focusing on the release of the preliminary manufacturing PMIs. The manufacturing sector has been strong, but supply chain bottlenecks, higher input prices, and shortage of workers threatens to slow the recovery. Finally, the release of the FOMC meeting minutes will be widely read as investors look for any hints regarding the Fed’s thoughts on inflation and the status of its current monetary policies.

Topic Industry News

Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.10.21

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.10.21

The headline release during the week ahead will be April’s consumer price index. Inflation is a hot topic on Wall Street and rightfully so. Inflation jumped to 2.6% in March and expectations are for inflation to remain elevated in the near term. The question remains, will higher inflation force the hand of the Federal Reserve to tighten their policies despite recent softness in the labor market? As for earnings, I will be interested to hear how car manufactures, Honda and Toyota have handled the shortage of semiconductors while the market for cars remains strong. Finally, Disney will be a widely watched as their theme parks reopen and streaming services remain popular.

Topic Industry News

Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.03.21

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 05.03.21

What the week ahead lacks in big-name earnings releases, it makes up for it in quantity, as it’s one of the busiest weeks for earnings releases this cycle. As for economic data, all eyes will be in the April jobs report. The pace of the economic recovery has been strong, and the labor market has gained momentum recently as vaccinations increase and businesses get back to “normal”. However, juiced up unemployment benefits have kept jobseekers on the sidelines rather than looking for lower paying jobs which will keep unemployment numbers artificially high...

Topic Industry News

Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 04.26.21

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 04.26.21

The week ahead is jammed packed with economic data releases, earnings calls, and an FOMC meeting. In the latest CPI reading, headline year-over-year inflation jumped to 2.6%, which didn’t catch many off guard. During the week ahead we will get the March release of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). Most are expecting it to climb above the Fed’s target of 2%, however, the Fed continues to say the bout of higer inflation will be temporary. Speaking of the Fed, the FOMC will be holding its April meeting during the week ahead. Most expect the Fed to keep their current policies in check, but it will be the commentary and Chairman Powell’s follow-up press conference that will garner most of the attention. Furthermore, the week is loaded with high profile earnings releases from the heavy hitting tech darlings that carried markets last year to some of the biggest blue-chip names...

Topic Industry News

Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 04.19.21

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 04.19.21

The week ahead is light on economic data but heavy on blue chip earnings releases. As for economic data, I will be watching the March release of existing and new home sales as tight inventory continues to pressure the housing market. I will also be keeping close attention on the release of the flash PMIs to see if signs continue to point to robust manufacturing and services activity. As for earnings releases. Names like Netflix, IBM, and Intel are sure to capture headlines. However, I will be more focused on the earnings releases of the airlines like United, American, and Southwest. They were hit hard during the height of the pandemic, but economies have reopened and solid earnings and guidance from the airlines will be a good indicator for economic growth moving forward...

Topic Industry News

Zephyr Portfolio Analytics

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 04.12.21

Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap: COVID-19 Market Edition 04.12.21

The week ahead will be a busy week for economic data, but it also marks the beginning of the Q1 corporate earnings season. Inflation has been a highly anticipated economic data release during the past few months, and it will be again during the week ahead. Despite the growing angst and rising prices in pockets of the the economy, like producer prices, headline inflation has remained muted. We will see if some of the higher prices in segments of the economy start to trickle through to the broader headline inflation number when the CPI is released. Q1 earnings season kicks off with blue chip financials reporting during the week ahead. Investor enthusiasm and expectations are high, so it will be important for companies to release solid earnings and forward guidance...

Topic Industry News