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EPFR - fund flow & allocations data

Quants Corner - Stock flows: Building the best mouse trap

Quants Corner

EPFR has a long history of helping clients understand where money is moving and how fund managers are investing that money. These insights started at the regional, country and sector level. In recent years, this coverage has been extended to the industry and single security level...

Topic Industry News

IGM FX and Rates

FX Viewpoint – Seasonality in August?

IGM FX and Rates

It's easy to assume August will be quiet given summer holidays impaired trade in the Northern Hemisphere, but that of course can bring thinner trade, which in turn can exacerbate moves and direction. So, what is the reality? How does the Dollar tend to perform during the month and are there any G10s that seem to perform particularly well/badly through August? For more read our FX Viewpoint Blog >

Topic Industry News

IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

China Insight: Politburo Re-affirmed Bias in Favour of Less Dovish Policy

China Insight

Xinhua News Agency reported the Politburo held a meeting on the economy on 30 July (Thursday). The CCP also held a meeting with non-CCP political parties and non-political representatives. President Xi chaired both meetings. Compared to the meeting held on 17 April, we note some changes in wording were made to the remarks on monetary and fiscal policies in the 30 July meeting. 30 July meeting (as per Xinhua News Agency): - "While requiring full implementation of macro policies, the meeting called for pursuing a more proactive and effective fiscal policy that delivers solid outcomes, and a more flexible and appropriate monetary policy that targets sound results, according to the meeting". 17 April Meeting (as per Xinhua News Agency): - "Monetary policies should be more flexible and balanced and instruments such as reserve requirement ratio cuts, interest rate reductions and reloans should be fully leveraged to ensure reasonable and sufficient liquidity and a lower interest rate in the loan market, the meeting said, stressing the need to channel capital into the real economy, especially medium-sized, small and micro enterprises".

Topic Industry News

EPFR - fund flow & allocations data

As sobering data piles up, shape of predicted recovery changing for the worse

Global Navigator

Going into August, investors hoping for a V-shaped recovery from the economic downturn triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic found themselves looking for new letters – W, U, L and K all have their advocates – as data from the US and Europe suggested the rebound that started in mid-2Q20 is losing momentum. Mutual investors responded by focusing on cash, precious metals and asset classes where there is a central bank acting as buyer of last resort. US Bond, Gold and Japanese Equity Funds all recorded healthy inflows during the week ending July 28th and Money Market Funds posted consecutive weekly inflows for the first time since early May.

Topic Industry News

IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

China Insight: Xi Has Strong Preference For Monetary Policy Normalisation

China Insight

In a key speech delivered at a symposium with corporate leaders in Beijing on Tuesday (21 July). President Xi (as per China Daily) urged better implementation of aid packages for businesses, with steps to enforce a more proactive fiscal policy and more prudent and flexible monetary policy to ensure macro policies are more targeted and effective, adding that China will continue with measures to cut taxes, fees, rents and interest rates and ensure its various aid measures can be channeled directly to the grassroots and benefit market players. Before that, President Xi at a meeting on 22 Feb (5 months ago) pledged to exercise more flexibility in monetary easing. The word "prudent" re-appeared in Xi's speech on Tuesday, echoing PBOC's bias in favour of a normalisation of the monetary policy.

Topic Industry News

IGM FX and Rates

EM Viewpoint: CLP may start to lose out as political risk increases

IGM FX and Rates

The Chilean Peso has been Latin America's best-performing currency this year. That said, as we turn to assess the mid-term outlook for the CLP after a tumultuous year, our view is that risks are tilted towards renewed CLP weakness as investors brace for the return of political risk. For more read our EM Viewpoint Blog >

Topic Industry News

EPFR - fund flow & allocations data

Equity Fund flows proving hard to stimulate

Global Navigator

The third week of July saw European leaders agree on a $830 billion ‘rescue fund’ and the Nasdaq Index hit a new record high while US lawmakers negotiated the outlines of what would be a fifth fiscal package to combat the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. But these developments drew a stronger reaction from fixed income investors, with EPFR-tracked Bond Funds posting their third largest weekly inflow year-to-date – and on record -- while Equity Funds collectively chalked up their fourth outflow in the past six weeks. Equity Fund groups dedicated to popular sectors continue to attract fresh money, as do those with socially responsible (SRI) or environmental, social and governance (ESG) mandates. But, as was the case during the second quarter, the list of top money magnets quarter-to-date is dominated by fixed income and cash management fund groups. However, two Equity Fund groups that were in the bottom 10 during 2Q20, Global and China Equity Funds, are currently in the top 10 QTD.

Topic Industry News

EPFR - fund flow & allocations data

Quants Corner - The pandemic’s legacy: More thumbs on more scales

Quants Corner

With economic growth hammered globally in March, April and May by the COVID-19 pandemic, investors have been on the lookout for – and hopeful about – a V-shaped economic recovery...

Topic Industry News