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The Context 11.09.20

The USD Week: The Theory of FOMO

Whilst Trump has vowed it's not over and the Senate composition still uncertain, the theory of FOMO (fear of missing out) could lead to investors sticking with trend and positive risk/Dollar selling.

Viewpoint: Still value in Emerging Asia FX

It’s blue skies for EM Asia currencies, which remain on the front foot against the USD after Biden’s win. This raises the question of how much value is left. To test this view, we built simple short-term fair value models based off local equity market performance, commodity prices and yield differentials with the US.

APAC CREDIT: ESG US$ issuance trends 2019-2020 YTD

Total APAC dollar ESG issuance boasted a record month in September 2020 when US$7.9bn of combined funding was raised by regional issuers, a sharp increase from the US$5.82bn of ESG issuance which materialized in the same month in 2019, according to our records.

Viewpoint: S.African Rand at crossroads as external tail winds overcome budget concerns

The South African ZAR had been the best performing EM currency in the week leading up to the US election. This puts the ZAR at the crossroads, with the currency a potential volatile performer in the aftermath.

Viewpoint: Risks in abundance for BOE

BoE announced a big stimulus package (extra Gbp 150bn of asset purchases) on the same day as the Chancellor extends the wage support program to March next year. V-shaped recovery optimism has gone as downside risks emerge.

The Context

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