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The Context 05.18.20

The GBP Week - Bias is Bearish

BOE speakers will be under the microscope after Chief Economist Haldane told the Telegraph the Bank is discussing options including negative interest rates. If they endorse Haldane's view and go further and hint it's coming, soon, then the Pound could move. Lower. Overall though, we think all things Brexit could be the main influence this week.

Euro Corp Comment: Second Largest Weekly Haul on Record Takes Its Toll

Last week was a big one with overall euro IG supply coming in at a hefty EUR26.55bn, which marks the second largest weekly haul ever recorded, only beaten by the EUR39.65bn recorded in the w/e 3-April-2020.

Why EM Local Currency Yields Have Continued to Hit Lows?

The EPFR fund flows data shows that since the start of March the net outflows from Emerging Markets has hit USD541bn (up to week ended 6th May). It is also interesting to note that the size of the outflow does not appear to have had much of an impact on local government bond yields in Emerging Markets.

The Context

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