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On to Neutral, Balance Between Labor and Inflation and Demand

In the week just passed, Treasuries bull flattened largely on the back of a set of soft data leading up to NFP and ancillary issues that have been ongoing (Washington stuff, FX influences) and a teeny bit of reduction in the market’s odds for a Fed hike later this year. Dec Fed Funds edged to 1.21+%, the lowest they’ve been since the middle of May. Hike probabilities sank to 36.5% for that month. Read more from David Ader's latest musings.
On to Neutral, Balance Between Labor and Inflation and Demand

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