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People are making a lot of noise about the bond market’s retreat after the July 20 range break. What I hear is that it’s largely about speculation over the BoJ’s upcoming meeting and an active discussion therein. This relates to Japan undershooting inflation targets and what the BoJ can and can’t do to spur it (presumably lower for longer) without doing harm. Included in that is the idea of raising their target on 10-yr JGB yields. You might argue that raising rates is rather unstimulative, but then easy policy hasn’t worked and has hurt banks. Read more from David Ader's latest musings...
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