Financial Intelligence is part of the Informa Intelligence Division of Informa PLC
This is operated by a business or businesses owned by Informa PLC and all copyright resides with them. Informa PLC's registered office is 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG. Registered in England and Wales. Number 8860726.
Please find attached The Context, our Financial Intelligence newsletter. The Context contains a selection of thought leadership articles from around the globe, spanning a host of asset classes to give you value-added insight into key themes affecting macroeconomics, markets, and fund flows, All feedback is greatly appreciated, so please do get in touch if you have any comments or suggestions. We hope you find it useful.
For the pdf, please click THE CONTEXT
IGM FX and Rates
27 Mar 2020
China Insight: Bond inflows pick up amid weak economy
IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
23 Mar 2020
Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!
Topics Industry News
IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
By Tim Cheung 23 Mar 2020
China's activity growth data for February were much weaker than expected, suggesting there is a very good chance the Q1 GDP y/y will fall into negative territory. Among forecasts from major investment banks, the most pessimistic ones for China's Q1 growth y/y are now in the -7/-9% range instead of +2/+3% territory seen a month ago, while that for the 2020 full-year growth are in the +1/+3% area rather than +4/+5%. To avoid the economy worsening further in the aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak, Beijing inevitably has to ramp up fiscal spending substantially over the rest of the year. Given the postponement of the National People’s Congress (NPC) meeting which was initially scheduled for early March, we so far have no official data on how much the government will spend in 2020. However, with the onshore CNY IRS curve steepening sharply recently (chart 1), we doubt the potential increase in government expenditure will be small. Meanwhile, we reckon most (if not all) of the extra spending will be financed by the issuance of special bonds, in particular, the long-term ones. As per chart 2, special bond issuance increased substantially in Jan and Feb, which may be setting a trend for most of the year.
Topics Industry News
Financial markets move fast. It’s tough to stay ahead of the curve and find the information that will give you an edge. That’s where we come in, providing strategists, traders, researchers and investors with the most current global view of changing investor demand and manager positioning to help mitigate risk and increase return.
“For portfolio investors, [portfolio flows] data from… EPFR… have a powerful appeal. According to one strategist, 'it is almost a crutch – they want to know the data, just because this is their business.'” –Source: Flows have powerful appeal, even as picture of the past, Financial Times
Serving institutional clients worldwide, we provide premier data for competitive intelligence and money market fund analysis delivering fast, accurate information for more than 2,000 US and offshore money funds as well as for ultrashort bonds.
You need to constantly demonstrate your value in today’s competitive marketplace to show you are the investment professional of choice. Powerful web-based tools can help you make sound investment decisions and create compelling client presentations to deliver the advantage you need to build your business. That’s Zephyr—your smartest investment yet!
Looking for more products Product Finder
Sample data or analysis
Would you like to request sample data or analysis from Informa Financial Intelligence?
Request a live demo
