IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
03 Aug 2020
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** The only EUR IG supply on Friday came courtesy US chemical and advanced materials company Arkema which increased its outstanding 1.5% Apr 2024 for EUR200m at m/s +65 via CA CIB and Citi.
** This brought the total volume of EUR issuance up to EUR21.62bn for the week, surpassing the EUR16.75bn which printed the previous week. For the full supply breakdown, see the IGM WEEKLY VOLUME
** Corporate borrowers led the way with a total of 17 tranches pricing for a combined EUR11.32bn including a number of dual-tranche and multi-tranche transactions, which were well received by investors as reflected by our usual weekly data barometers. For some takeaways from this week's supply see IGM's CORP SNAPSHOT
** Covered supply rose significantly this week to EUR5.2bn, up 160% from the week before, spearheaded by Nationwide Building Society's record breaking EUR1bn 15yr UK covered issue. For our weekly covered wrap which includes charts and stats see IGM COVERED SNAPSHOT
** In contrast, FIG issuance fell in the last week to EUR2.05bn (from EUR2.5bn) with BNP Paribas attracting the most demand (EUR2bn) for its EUR750m 7yr senior non-preferred trade. Looking ahead to next week and Nordea is preparing to go live with a debut EUR500m no grow 5yr Green issue as early as Monday. For more see IGM's FIG SNAPSHOT
** EPFR Global data for Euro-denominated IG bond funds shows that investors put money for a third straight week in the w/e 21st June, although the pace of inflows slowed to an equivalent $928.18m from $1,545.19m the week before. For more see the IGM EPFR FUND FLOWS
IGM Credit Excel spreadsheets
** IGM European Weekly Credit Excel Spreadsheet is your comprehensive round-up of primary European new issue activity in Excel format, which allows users to conveniently download, save and edit the data as required. As well as new issue terms and conditions the spreadsheet incorporates additional data sets including distribution stats, book sizes, NICs and secondary market performance
** IGM/EPFR: Cheat Sheet provides proprietary intelligence on Euro primary market trends using various key data points in an easily digestible Excel spreadsheet. This includes Euro new issue volumes, average new issue concessions and book cover ratios across asset classes, as well as EPFR fund flow data and other key credit proxies
Friday's broader market developments
** No major / new drivers
** Stocks and synthetic credit decoupled as equities slipped while iTraxx indices held in - Main touches fresh series tight for 2nd straight day
** Oil traded sideways having stabilised Thursday, but Brent still in bear market territory and was heading for a fifth weekly loss
** EZ PMI data disappointed overall in Jun, services missed while manufacturing beat
** Govvies - bunds lacked a clear direction while bull flattening trend takes a breather
Market shapshot (15.35 BST)
GER 2yr +0.9bp at -0.636% / 10yr +0.4bp at 0.253%
Brent +0.57% at USD45.48
iTraxx Main -0.6 at 53.7 / Crossover -0.3 at 234.9
What to watch Monday
** Data: Following 4 straight monthly rises, German Ifo Business Climate likely slipped in June but should stay close to the cycle high seen in May. UK BBA Mortgage approvals are seen falling for a 4th month in May. US Prelim Durable Goods data should show that the value of new orders fell for a 2nd month in May.
** Events: The 3-day ECB Forum gets underway. Fed's Williams speaks before the European open (05.20)
** Supply: The US sells USD26bn 2yr notes
** Holidays: Eid
** Viewpoint: Week Ahead - Plenty of CB speak, Fed's favoured PCE inflation gauge set to slow further. Eurozone inflation to slow to 1.3% y/y at the headline, and speed-up to 1% at the core
IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates
By Tim Cheung 03 Aug 2020
Xinhua News Agency reported the Politburo held a meeting on the economy on 30 July (Thursday). The CCP also held a meeting with non-CCP political parties and non-political representatives. President Xi chaired both meetings. Compared to the meeting held on 17 April, we note some changes in wording were made to the remarks on monetary and fiscal policies in the 30 July meeting. 30 July meeting (as per Xinhua News Agency): - "While requiring full implementation of macro policies, the meeting called for pursuing a more proactive and effective fiscal policy that delivers solid outcomes, and a more flexible and appropriate monetary policy that targets sound results, according to the meeting". 17 April Meeting (as per Xinhua News Agency): - "Monetary policies should be more flexible and balanced and instruments such as reserve requirement ratio cuts, interest rate reductions and reloans should be fully leveraged to ensure reasonable and sufficient liquidity and a lower interest rate in the loan market, the meeting said, stressing the need to channel capital into the real economy, especially medium-sized, small and micro enterprises".
Topics Industry News