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Financial Intelligence:最新

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  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    China Insight: The US May Consider Limiting Investments in China

    15 Oct 2019

    A couple of negative headlines came out on 8 October before the 13th round of US-China trade talks starts. The US blacklisted 28 Chinese entities and government agencies over human rights violations and repression in Xinjiang; White House has started looking to consider limits on the US pension investments in Chinese equities;

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 10.14.19

    14 Oct 2019

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: Pressure on South Africa to Restructure Eskom & Keep Debt in Check Ahead of Moody's Review Eskom is the biggest threat to the economy, which means restructuring is essential. The ANC has said it is working on a plan for Eskom and this is expected to be unveiled, along with a new Chief Executive Officer (Eskom has been without one since July), ahead of the 30th October mid-term budget statement. The CAD Week - Bias is Neutral The stellar Canadian jobs report last Friday sent Usd/Cad spiralling down to 1.3171 at one stage, its lowest level for a month. The data has pushed interest rate cut expectations before year end significantly lower. Euro Corp Snapshot: Weekly Supply Jumps Despite ongoing economic concerns and a volatile backdrop, the European corporate market saw supply accelerate sharply last week where issuers printed a total of EUR14.067bn. That is over six times the EUR2.15bn that printed the prior week. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 10.07.19

    07 Oct 2019

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: Can’t Get Away From The Fed’s Balance Sheet Several of the Fed’s cross-currents will be front and centre as the minutes to the last FOMC emerge (Wednesday). Fed talk during the recent week has softened as the data highlighted the growing threat to the US economy, not just from an international perspective but also domestically. The GBP Week - Bias is Neutral BREXIT, of course, will be uppermost in investors’ minds and though GBP/USD looks to be in relative mid-range right now the downside looks most vulnerable given the current state of play. Turkey’s Economic Miracle Puts Lira Stability at Risk There is a risk that once again the Turkish Lira will become vulnerable to a deterioration in external sentiment, especially as there remains the overhanging geo-political risk of US sanctions, whilst increased tension between Iran and Saudi Arabia could drive up oil prices, adding fuel to a potential deterioration in the current account and inflation. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    China Insight: We Are Just in Short-Lived Peace

    01 Oct 2019

    Ahead of high-level trade talks scheduled for the second week of October in Washington, there is the growing expectation that an interim or mini deal between the US and China will be reached there.

    Topic Industry News

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 09.30.19

    30 Sep 2019

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: Generous Welfare Spending Looks Set to Secure Poland's Ruling Party Another Election Victory The ruling Law and Justice Party's greatest ever showing in an election for the European Parliament in May (45% of the vote versus a combined ca. 38% for the opposition alliances), has placed it on a strong footing heading into the Polish parliamentary elections on 13th October. The AUD Week - Bias is Bullish Highlight of the week comes in the shape of the RBA rate decision, and while odds for a 25bps rate cut currently sit around 45%, we suspect no such event will occur. Has The Fed Done Enough? Month/quarter-end is with us and we will find out if the Fed has ‘done enough’ via its repo operations to prevent spikes in funding costs. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic Industry News

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    China Insight: CGB Inclusion to JPM Indices Won’t Have Much Impact on RMB FX

    24 Sep 2019

    JP Morgan in early-September announced that China Government Bonds (CGBs) will be included in its series of GBI-EM bond indices, starting 28 February 2020. The inclusion will take place over a 10-month period and be completed at the end of November 2020. This is another major bond index's inclusion of China, following Bloomberg Barclays'.

    Topic Industry News

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 09.23.19

    23 Sep 2019

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: Euro Corp Comment: The Investment Grade Corporate Juggernaut Keeps Rolling on It was yet another frenetic week for the European corporate market with another batch of issuers jumping in, following a sharp tightening in secondary spreads at the back end of the previous week after the ECB cut rates and announced a new stimulus package. Well The Data Looks Decent Enough After a busy week on the central bank meeting front, just the RBNZ (Wednesday) gathers this week. The Bank is widely expected to stay its hand and leave the OCR at 1.00% after its jumbo-sized 50bps cut in August. That said, it will probably leave the door open to the possibility of further OCR cuts. The NZD Week - Bias is Bearish Wednesday's RBNZ OCR will be the indisputable week highlight. The IMF has warned ahead that the NZ government and central bank need to be prepared to further support the slowing economy after downside risks increased. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic Industry News

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    China Insight: RRR Cut Reinforces Our Bullish View on CGBs

    17 Sep 2019

    PBOC on 6 September announced a cut in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for all financial institutions by 50bps and a cut for some city commercial banks by an additional 100bps, effective on 16 September. As per PBOC, the RRR cut will release liquidity to the amount of CNY900bn (chart 1). The PBOC stressed that the 900 billion yuan of liquidity should enhance the source of funds for financial institutions to support financing needs of the real economy.

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 09.16.19

    16 Sep 2019

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: A Feast of Central Banks The ECB decision impacts other central banks. Most directly, the SNB who gather (Thursday). ECB easing also provides the Fed with some space given the Eurozone economy is one of the FOMC’s concerns. A 25bp cut is fully priced. The NOK Week – Bias is Neutral to Bullish Eur/Nok dipped to 9.8736 in the early exchanges as the market reacted to the spike in oil prices after the weekend's attack on a Saudi oil facility that will remove 5% of global supplies. The pair has quickly returned to 9.9250/9300, with the market looking ahead to Thursday's Norges Bank meeting. Euro Corp Comment: A Few Signs of Indigestion But The ECB Provides More Comfort It was another busy week for the euro investment grade corporate market in the w/e 13th September where EUR12.15bn hit the tape courtesy of 20 separate tranches. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    Hong Kong Insight: Concerns Over Capital Flight Are Growing

    10 Sep 2019

    The HKMA, on 26 August, announced it had completed a review of its framework for the provision of liquidity to Authorised Institutions (AIs). A new Resolution Facility was introduced to provide for the scenario in which resolution powers under the Financial Institutions (Resolution) Ordinance (FIRO) are exercised by the Monetary Authority as the Resolution Authority. The HKMA has also taken the opportunity to communicate and restate the framework for provision of liquidity, incorporating certain refinements to the prior arrangements where appropriate, so as to foster a better understanding on the part of the market of the different facilities through which the HKMA makes temporary HKD liquidity (i.e. not in the nature of capital support) available to AIs to maintain integrity and stability of the monetary and financial systems in Hong Kong.

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 09.09.19

    09 Sep 2019

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: The EUR Week - Bias is Bearish The ECB meeting takes centre stage this week, and Draghi is poised to unleash a barrage of stimulus to shore up economic growth. A rate cut of some degree is anticipated alongside other methods of monetary easing, which in turn will widen the yield differentials between the Eur and other currencies... US Corps: Records Fall as Volume Tops $75bn The investment grade new issue market kicked off the post-Labor Day rush with an unheard of $75.371bn (first week ever to top $70bn) from 52 deals / 91 tranches (ex-SSA). Asia Credit Insight: Primary US$ Volumes Slump in August APAC US$ primary supply for August dwindled to US$12.823bn, a mere quarter of July's issuance bonanza of US$51.084bn and representing a 23.4% drop from August 2018. The seasonally slow month was attributed in part to the usual holiday period, although further hampered by an escalation of the US/China trade war. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    China Insight: RMB Depreciation Will Intensify if IEEPA Threat Materialises

    03 Sep 2019

    China Insight 0903

    The latest escalation in US-China trade tensions has already put additional depreciation pressure on RMB FX. It is increasingly likely that our target 7.5000 will be reached as soon as autumn. If China were to offset the announced additional tariffs by the US via RMB depreciation only, we suspect USD/CNH would need to reach as high as 7.65. So far, we have merely based our analysis on what degree of RMB depreciation is needed in order to compensate for the potential loss of trade competitiveness as a result of tariffs.

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 09.02.19

    02 Sep 2019

    The Context 09.02.19

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: A Rancorous UK Parliament is Back, But Not For Long The UK Parliament is back after the Summer recess (Tuesday) and likely to be in rancorous mood following PM Johnson’s proroguing in the lead up to the October 31st leave with or without a deal deadline, ‘no ifs, no buts’. The SEK Week – Bias is Bearish The Riksbank's monetary policy decision is a major focus this week as it is widely expected to abandon prior rate hiking plans, and instead shift into neutral, perhaps even dovish mode. Euro Corp Comment: Primary Springs Into Life The EUR16.9bn raised last week made it the busiest week of 2019. That was more than the total raised in the seven prior weeks combined (EUR15.3bn). It also took the August total to EUR19.4bn, making this the highest volume August on record. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    The Context 08.26.19

    26 Aug 2019

    The Context 08.26.19

    Inside this week’s edition of The Context, Financial Intelligence thought leaders discuss: The Gbp Week Bias is Neutral Basing at 1.2015 on the 12 th and rebounding to 1.2294 Fri, there is certainly an argument that new UK PM Johnson has made a decent start to his leadership. Relatively positive noises/outcomes from meetings with Merkel and Macron last week and Trump again dangling a very big trade deal post Brexit at the G7. Moscow Protests Could be The Sign of Things to Come Moscow has been rocked by weekly protests for more than a month, triggered by the decision of the electoral commission to disqualify opposition candidates from running in the elections for the Moscow City Duma. Read more from The Context and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

    Topic industry-news

  • IGM Credit, IGM FX and Rates

    China Insight: New LPR Mechanism is Bullish For Government Bonds

    By Tim Cheung 23 Aug 2019

    PBOC finally officially announced on 17th of August interest rate reform using the LPR (Loan Prime Rate) as a benchmark for new loans. As per the announcement, eighteen banks are selected as LPR quoting members and each of them are required to submit one LPR quote for a 1-year period and one for a 5-year period to the National Interbank Funding Centre (NIFC) on the 20th of each month.

    Topic industry-news